Kilowatt Kit
Heating & cooling 9 min read Updated Apr 2025

Heat Pump Guide: How They Work & When They're Worth It

Heat pumps deliver 2–4× more heat per unit of electricity than a conventional heater. Here's how they work, what types exist, and how to decide if one is right for your home and climate.

🌡️ Key Takeaways

  • Heat pumps move heat, not create it — achieving 200–400% efficiency
  • Modern cold-climate models work efficiently down to -15°C (5°F)
  • One system provides both heating in winter and cooling in summer
  • US federal tax credit covers 30% of cost (up to $2,000) through 2032
  • Payback vs. gas heat: 4–12 years depending on gas/electric price ratio

How a Heat Pump Works

A heat pump works like a refrigerator in reverse. Your fridge extracts heat from inside and dumps it outside (feel the warm coils at the back). A heat pump extracts heat from cold outdoor air (or the ground) and delivers it inside your home.

This sounds counterintuitive — extracting heat from cold air — but even air at -10°C contains substantial thermal energy. The refrigerant cycle compresses and expands a fluid to move this heat across a temperature gradient.

// The refrigerant cycle (simplified)
1. Evaporator — cold refrigerant absorbs heat from outdoor air → becomes a gas
2. Compressor — compresses gas, raising its temperature
3. Condenser — hot refrigerant releases heat into your home → becomes liquid
4. Expansion valve — pressure drops, refrigerant cools → cycle repeats

What is COP?

The Coefficient of Performance (COP) is the ratio of heat output to electricity input. A COP of 3 means 3 kWh of heat is delivered for every 1 kWh of electricity consumed — effectively 300% efficiency.

Heating system Efficiency Heat per unit of energy
Electric resistance heater 100% (COP 1.0) 1 unit
Gas furnace (modern) 80–98% 0.80–0.98 units
Air-source heat pump (mild weather) COP 3–5 3–5 units
Air-source heat pump (cold weather, -10°C) COP 1.5–2.5 1.5–2.5 units
Ground-source heat pump COP 3–5 (year-round) 3–5 units (consistent)

Types of Heat Pumps

🌬️

Air-Source Heat Pump (ASHP)

Extracts heat from outdoor air. By far the most common type. Available as ducted systems (replaces furnace + AC) or ductless mini-splits (for individual rooms or zone-by-zone).

Cost: $3,000–$15,000 ✓ No ground work needed ⚠ Efficiency drops in very cold weather
🌍

Ground-Source Heat Pump (GSHP / Geothermal)

Extracts heat from the ground (which stays at ~10–13°C year-round). Very high and consistent COP regardless of outdoor temperature. Higher upfront cost due to drilling or trenching.

Cost: $15,000–$40,000+ ✓ Consistent efficiency all year ⚠ Requires yard space / drilling
💧

Heat Pump Water Heater (HPWH)

A standalone appliance that replaces your electric water heater tank. Uses the same heat pump principle — COP of 3–4. Uses 60–70% less electricity than a standard electric tank. The single most cost-effective heat pump upgrade for most homes.

Cost: $1,000–$1,800 ✓ Fastest payback (4–8 years) ⚠ Needs unconditioned space (garage, basement)
🌡️

Calculate heat pump running costs

Compare heat pump vs. gas furnace vs. electric heat — enter your energy prices and see annual savings.

Heat Pump Calculator

Is a Heat Pump Worth It for Your Home?

Whether a heat pump saves money vs. gas heating depends almost entirely on the ratio of your electricity rate to your gas rate. Here's the break-even rule of thumb:

// Break-even rule
Heat pump saves money if:
electricity $/kWh < COP × gas rate (in $/kWh equivalent)
// Example: COP 3, gas = $0.06/kWh equivalent (~$1.75/therm)
Heat pump break-even = 3 × $0.06 = $0.18/kWh electricity
If your electricity rate is below $0.18/kWh → heat pump wins
Country Avg electric rate Verdict vs gas Incentives
🇺🇸 US $0.16/kWh ✓ Saves vs gas in most areas 30% federal tax credit (up to $2,000)
🇬🇧 UK £0.34/kWh ⚠ Marginal — gas cheaper/kWh but BUS grant helps Boiler Upgrade Scheme: £7,500 grant
🇨🇦 Canada $0.13/kWh ✓ Often saves significantly vs gas Canada Greener Homes up to $5,000
🇦🇺 Australia $0.30/kWh ✓ Saves vs gas (gas prices rising sharply) State rebates vary — up to $3,500 in VIC
The decisive factor: If you heat with oil, propane, or electric resistance heaters (not gas), the financial case for a heat pump is almost always excellent. These fuels cost more per unit of heat than a heat pump using grid electricity at typical residential rates.

Installation: What to Expect

A ducted air-source heat pump installation typically takes 1–3 days. A mini-split system for one zone takes about half a day. Here's what's involved:

Ducted system (whole-home)

  • • Outdoor condenser unit installed on pad or wall bracket
  • • Air handler replaces existing furnace in air handler/attic/basement
  • • Connects to existing ductwork
  • • Electrical service to outdoor unit (240V)
  • • Total cost: $5,000–$15,000

Mini-split (ductless, per zone)

  • • Outdoor compressor unit
  • • Indoor wall-mounted air handler per zone
  • • Small refrigerant line through wall (~3" hole)
  • • No existing ductwork needed
  • • Single zone: $1,500–$4,000 / Multi-zone: $5,000–$15,000

What to ask your installer

  • Is your system ENERGY STAR certified? (Required for federal tax credit in US)
  • What HSPF2 / SEER2 ratings does the unit have? (Higher = more efficient)
  • What is the minimum operating temperature? (Want −15°C / 5°F or lower for cold climates)
  • Does my electrical panel need upgrading? (Heat pumps need 240V/30–50A circuit)
  • Will you apply for available rebates on my behalf?

Frequently Asked Questions

Do heat pumps work in cold weather?

Modern cold-climate heat pumps work efficiently down to -15°C (5°F) and continue to operate (at reduced efficiency) down to -25°C (-13°F). Models from Mitsubishi, Bosch, and Carrier are specifically designed for harsh winters. The COP drops as temperatures fall, but still typically exceeds 1.5 even at -10°C, making them more efficient than electric resistance heating.

What is a heat pump's COP and why does it matter?

COP (Coefficient of Performance) is the ratio of heat produced to electricity consumed. A COP of 3 means the heat pump delivers 3 units of heat for every 1 unit of electricity. Traditional electric heaters have a COP of exactly 1.0. Gas furnaces have effective COP around 0.8–0.95. So a heat pump with COP 3 is 3× more efficient than an electric heater and about 3× better than a gas furnace per unit of energy cost.

Can a heat pump both heat and cool?

Yes — this is one of the biggest advantages. Most heat pumps work as air conditioners in summer (running in reverse) and heaters in winter. A single system replaces both your furnace and central AC. Ducted heat pumps replace both entirely; mini-split systems work room-by-room without ducts.

How much does a heat pump cost to install?

A ducted central heat pump (replacing a gas furnace + AC) typically costs $5,000–$15,000 installed in the US. A single-zone mini-split runs $1,500–$4,000 installed. Multi-zone mini-splits are $5,000–$15,000. After US federal tax credits (30%, up to $2,000), Canadian and UK subsidies, the net cost is often 25–45% lower.

Is a heat pump cheaper to run than a gas furnace?

In most cases yes, but it depends on your gas and electricity prices. As a rule of thumb: if your electricity rate ($/kWh) is less than 3.5× your gas rate ($/therm or per equivalent unit), a heat pump with COP 3 will be cheaper to run than a 90%-efficient gas furnace. Use our heat pump running cost calculator to model your specific situation.

Related Guides